Trends and prospects of long-term development of the Russian coal sector with new technological realities and in the new economic situation of the XXI century

DOI: 10.30686/1609-9192-2018-2-138-4-18

A.A. Rozhkov, M.P. Voskoboinik

The article presents the estimates of strategic trends of the global technological and technical development, as well as strategic innovation trends of technological and technical development of the coal sector in particular. The authors has performed the look back analysis of the period of 2001-2020 and the forecast up to the year 2040 for main technical and economic parameters of the Russian coal sector development, with due account for the changes in the technological background of the industry. The forecast estimates have been made with the use of a simulation mathematical-economic model (IEMMugol) for two most important scenarios of development and for three variants of coal production.

Key words: strategic trends of the global technological and technical development, strategic trends of technological and technical development of the coal sector, output per man, capital productivity and capital-labour ratio, growth rates, capital investments, scenarios of moderate innovative technological development and enhanced innovative technological development.

Mining Industry Journal №2 (138) 2018, p.4