Development of a dynamic adaptive geomechanical rock mass model with real-time updating based on data from the GITS mine seismic station in CAE Fidesys
K.V. Romanevich1, M.A. Sonnov2, S.N. Mulev1, L.V. Dolmatova1, G.D. Rukavishnikov1
1 Saint Petersburg Research Institute for Mining Geomechanics and Surveying, Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation
2 Fidesys LLC, Moscow, Russian Federation
Russian Mining Industry №3/ 2026 p. 88-97
Abstract: The concept under consideration involves the development of a dynamic adaptive geomechanical model of a rock mass, integrated with the GITS mine seismic monitoring system and implemented within the CAE Fidesys finite element analysis environment. The objective of the study is to create a computational tool capable of quasi-continuous updating of the stress-strain state of the rock mass with account of the progress in mining operations and occurrence of the recorded microseismic events of varying energy. The proposed approach is based on constructing a three-dimensional finite element model that represents the current geomechanical state of the rock mass, including the configuration of production and development workings, position of the longwall face, and the mining sequence. Unlike previously developed algorithms focused on assessing the impact of individual seismic events, this study aims to establish an integrated computational framework in which the data on coordinates and energy characteristics of events, received from the GITS system, are used for the sequential adjustment of the numerical model. Such adjustments may include modification of the local elastic-strength properties, formation of weakened zones, and stress redistribution in the vicinity of seismic sources. As the result, an iterative model updating procedure is implemented, followed by recalculation of the stress-strain state. This enables generation of an up-to-date distribution of the principal stresses and identification of zones with potential geomechanical hazards. The model is intended to function as a digital twin of the rock mass, capturing its spatial and temporal evolution. An example of practical application of the proposed approach is provided for a coal mine in the Kuzbass region. The study outlines directions for future research aimed at creating a tool for real-time geomechanical risk management in underground mining.
Keywords: rock mass, dynamic adaptive geomechanical model, coal mine, ore mine, seismic event, stress-strain state, mine seismic monitoring system, GITS, CAE Fidesys
For citation: Romanevich K.V., Sonnov M.A., Mulev S.N., Dolmatova L.V., Rukavishnikov G.D. Development of a dynamic adaptive geomechanical rock mass model with real-time updating based on data from the GITS mine seismic station in CAE Fidesys. Russian Mining Industry. 2026;(3):88–97. https://doi.org/10.30686/1609-9192-2026-3-88-97
Article info
Received: 26.02.2026
Revised: 24.03.2026
Accepted: 15.04.2026
Information about the authors
Kirill V. Romanevich – Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Leading Research Associate, Laboratory of Geophysical Research, Academic Secretary, Saint Petersburg Research Institute for Mining Geomechanics and Surveying, Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation; https://orcid.org/0009-0005-2052-7816; e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
Maksim A. Sonnov – Full Member of the Academy of Mining Sciences, Deputy General Director, Fidesys LLC, Moscow, Russian Federation; https://orcid.org/0009-0004-3932-5571; e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
Sergey N. Mulev – Corresponding Member of the International Academy of Ecology and Life Protection Sciences, R&D Director, Saint Petersburg Research Institute for Mining Geomechanics and Surveying, Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation; https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6745-5291; e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
Liliana V. Dolmatova – Senior Rock Mechanics Engineer, Saint Petersburg Research Institute for Mining Geomechanics and Surveying, Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation; https://orcid.org/0009-0000-7510-0039; e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
Georgy D. Rukavishnikov – Head of the Centre for Geodynamic Monitoring, Saint Petersburg Research Institute for Mining Geomechanics and Surveying, Saint Petersburg, Russian Federation; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8228-2870; e-mail: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
References
1. Lomov M.A. Accidents in the mining industry in Russia that occurred as a result of dynamic manifestations in the mountain range. Control of mountain pressure at the Yuzhnoye field (Primorsky krai). Problems of Subsoil Use. 2023;(1):85–92. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.25635/2313-1586.2023.01.085
2. Fedyanin A.S., Eremenko V.A. Probabilistic and statistical approach to accident forecasting in underground mines. Gornyi Zhurnal. 2026;(1):17–22. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.17580/gzh.2026.01.02
3. Romanevich K.V., Mulev S.N., Rukavishnikov G.D. Application of the GITS mine seismic control system for geotechnical monitoring of underground structures. In: Study of hazardous natural processes and geotechnical monitoring in engineering surveys: materials of the All-Russian scientific-practical conference, Moscow, March 22, 2024. Moscow: Geomarketing LLC; 2024. P. 44–51. (In Russ.)
4. Konstantinov A.V., Grunin A.P., Sidlyar A.V., Lomov M.A. Improvement of software and analytical tools of the seismic-acoustic monitoring system of rockburst hazard "PROGNOZ-ADS". In: Digital technologies in mining: abstracts of the All-Russian scientific and technical conference, Apatity, June 13–16, 2023. Apatity: Kola Scientific Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences; 2023. P. 26. (In Russ.)
5. Butyrin P.G. Digital seismic logger "Ermak-5". Five years of development. Russian Journal of Seismology. 2021;3(3):84–94. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.35540/2686-7907.2021.3.06
6. Kopylov K.N., Smirnov O.V., Kulik A.I. Acoustic monitoring of the condition of rock mass and forecast of dynamic phenomena. Mining Informational and Analytical Bulletin. 2015;(S7):574–583. (In Russ.)
7. Kubrin S.S., Zhuravlev E.I. Control of geodynamic and gas-dynamic state of rock mass. In: Occupational safety and production efficiency of mining enterprises with underground mining: materials of the 1st International scientific and technical conference, Yekaterinburg, April 6 – June 7, 2016. Yekaterinburg: Ural State Mining University; 2016. P. 19–25. (In Russ.)
8. Patrushev Yu.V., Schneider I.V. Review of methods and technologies of seismic systems for monitoring the stability of rock mass in underground conditions. In: Occupational safety and production efficiency of mining enterprises with underground mining: materials of the 1st International scientific and technical conference, Yekaterinburg, April 6 – June 7, 2016. Yekaterinburg: Ural State Mining University; 2016. P. 65–70. (In Russ.)
9. Yakovlev D.V., Mulev S.N. Experience of ANGEL-M multipurpose geophysical equipment use in coal industry and ore mining. Ugol'. 2014;(10):14–19. (In Russ.)
10. Razumov E.E. Improvement of the method for predicting rockburst hazard based on the results of seismic monitoring during intensive mining of coal seams [dissertation of Candidate of Technical Sciences]. Kemerovo; 2025. 130 p. (In Russ.)
11. Romanevich K.V., Mulev S.N., Ivanov D.A. Determination of the influence zone of a microseismic event on the rock mass during seismic monitoring of coal mines and ore mines. In: New ideas in Earth sciences: materials of the 17th International scientific-practical conference, Moscow, April 3–4, 2025. Moscow: Sergo Ordzhonikidze Russian State Geological Prospecting University; 2025. Vol. 1. P. 152–156. (In Russ.)
12. Lomakin V.S., Grigorovich S.V., Potekhin R.P., Khalevin N.I. About the connection between the volume of destruction focal zone and seismic energy of mountain shock. Geologiya i Geofizika. 1989;30(5):129–132. (In Russ.)
13. Sadovskii M.A., Pisarenko V.F., Steinberg V.V. On the dependence of earthquake energy on the seismic focus volume. Doklady Akademii Nauk SSSR. 1983;271(3):598–602. (In Russ.) Available at: https://www.mathnet.ru/rus/dan46200 (accessed: 02.03.2026).
14. Sadovskii M.A., Kedrov O.K., Pasechnik I.P. On the seismic energy and volume of foci at crustal earthquakes and underground explosions. Doklady Akademii Nauk SSSR. 1985;283(5):1153–1156. (In Russ.) Available at: https://www.mathnet.ru/rus/dan47142 (accessed: 02.03.2026).
15. Karpenko V.V., Ogorodnikov Y.N. Parameters of direct longitudinal and transverse seismic waves of upland shocks in rocky rocks. Journal of Mining Institute. 2007;172:14–17. (In Russ.) Available at: https://pmi.spmi.ru/pmi/article/view/7610 (accessed: 02.03.2026).
16. Shemyakin E.I., Kurlenya M.V., Kulakov G.I. On the classification of rockbursts. Fiziko-Texhnicheskiye Problemy Razrabbotki Poleznykh Iskopaemykh. 1986;(5):3–11. (In Russ.)
17. Kozyrev A.A., Zemtsovskiy A.V., Kulkova M.S., Sonnov M.A. Experience of CAE Fidesys application in numerical geomechanical modelling of Zhdanovskoe deposit. Russian Mining Industry. 2021;(6):94–98. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.30686/1609-9192-2021-6-94-98
18. Romanevich K.V., Moroz N.E., Ivanov D.A. Modeling the impact of seismic events on the stress-strain state of a rock mass during mining operations. Problems of Subsoil Use. 2025;(2):69–79. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.25635/2313-1586.2025.02.069
